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League One 18:00 Portsmouth - Fleetwood 1. Eerste Divisie 18:00 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 1. Serie A 18:45 Bologna FC - Napoli 1. Championship 18:45 Sheffield Wednesday - Nottingham Forest 1.

Dev 2

Bundesliga 18:30 Kaiserslautern - Braunschweige 1. Premier - League 15:00 Liverpool - Arsenal 2. Premier - League 14:00 Newcasle - West Ham 1. Premier League 17:00 Zenit - Akhmat 1. Championship 19:30 Middlesbrough - Sheffield United 1. Bundesliga 21:00 Heidenheim - Aue 8 August Portugal. Liga I 21:00 Dinamo - Gaz Metan 6 August France. League 1 16:00 Lille - Nantes 2. Ekstraklasa 21:30 Termalica - Legia 2. Bundesliga 19:30 Union Berlin - Kieler SV Holstein 1.

Premier - Liague 22:00 Akhmat - Dinamo M 29 July 2. Bundesliga 16:30 SV Darmstadt 98 - Greuther Furth 2. Ekstraklasa 21:30 Wisla Krakow - Termalica KS 19 July UEFA Champions League 20:15 Rosenborg - Dundalk 17 July Sweden. Allsvenskan 20:00 Elfsborg - Hammarby 1. Ekstraklasa 21:30 Pogon - Wisla Krakow 12 July UEFA Champions League 21:45 Zilina - Copenhagen 1.

Eliteserien 20:00 Sarpsborg - Lillestrem 1. Eliteserien 19:00 Viking - Sogndal 07 July Ireland First Division 21:45 Athlon - Shelbourne 06 July UEFA Europa League 21:30 Jagiellonia - Dinamo Batumi 2. Allsvenskan 20:00 Djurgardens - Kalmar 1.

We obtain predictive densities from stochastic volatility (SV) and GARCH models, which we then tilt using the second moment of the risk-neutral distribution implied by options prices while imposing a non-negativity constraint on the equity premium. By combining the backward-looking information contained in the GARCH and SV models with the forward-looking information from options prices, our procedure improves the performance of predictive densities.

Keywords: entropic tilting, density forecasts, variance risk premium, equity premium, options Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation Waltham, MA 02454-9110United States781.

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To decline or learn more, visit our Cookies page. This page was processed by apollo4 in 0. Metaxoglou, Konstantinos and Pettenuzzo, Davide and Smith, Aaron, Option-Implied Equity Premium Predictions via Entropic Tilting (September 9, 2017).

To be ranked, a paper must be a publicly available scholarly full-text paper on SSRN. Privately available papers are not considered in these rankings. Eastern, Monday - Friday. Submit a Paper Section 508 Text Only Pages Quick Links Research Paper Series Conference Papers Partners in Publishing Organization Homepages Newsletter Sign Up Rankings Top Papers Top Authors Top Organizations About SSRN Objectives Network Directors Presidential Letter Announcements Contact us FAQs Copyright Terms and Conditions Privacy Policy Cookies are used by this site.He provided a link to a YouTube video he uploaded on November 8, and later Facebook and Twitter warnings he issued hours before the earthquake.

Even Iran was mentioned as a possible location for a six to seven magnitude earthquake. Just hours before the Iran-Iraq quake, he posted on Facebook and Twitter: "Be on watch: larger quakes may be upcoming in the next few days.

He said: "We are not out of the woods for sure, we may have another six pointer, possibly a big six or maybe another seven. Seven major earthquakes, that is really below average.

Critics say that because Mr Hoogerbeets gives warnings over a timeframe of a number of days, and issues warnings for several areas each time, across the globe, occasionally he will seem to predict such events. He points to several examples where he says he was right, amid claims his accuracy is improving. There have been significant quakes after some of his warnings, but he is no longer specific about where they will strike or the exact day.

In December 2015 he was mocked after predicting a powerful magnitude eight earthquake that could "change the world forever" would strike on the 11 or 12 of the month, only for it to fail to materialise. There was also the much publicised mega quake he warned was about to hit California in May 2015 - but it too never arrived.

Volunteer rescue workers wait in the rain near a collapsed building for a chance to help in the search for survivors in Mexico CityMr Hoogerbeets admits he also relies on messages from spirits, crop circle formations, and so-called "key Earth dates" in order to predict when earthquakes will strike. Astronomer Phil Plait, who writes for New Scientist, previously said of his predictions: "Let me be clear: No, it won't. Mystery cross in sky seen as 'message from God' 'GOD'S MESSENGER' Rocky Mountains 'recluse' claims to be prophet - with new announcement UFO cube that appeared 'through portal' over US nuclear test base was REAL, claims expert googletag.

I want to get a transfer. Will today's soccer previews and predictions I get a transfer. What type of career should I choose for success. Do I need a Change in my Job. Will I be reinstated. I am suspended from my job. Los Angeles Rams Pick (4:25PM ET)) Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick (4:05PM ET)) Denver Broncos vs.

Oakland Raiders Pick (4:25PM ET)) New Orleans Saints vs. According to the book of Astrology. Gyan Ganga Braht Jatak, if Sun, Moon, Mars, Mercury, Jupiter, Venus and Saturn are in the tenth house from the Ascendant and Moon, then your father, mother, enemy, friend, elder brother, wife and your servants will be the sources.

Lets focus on the positives first. And a win against New Zealand is massive, no matter the circumstances. The Kiwis havent lost at home in nearly eight years, and even.

Matches play at the same day and the total odd is over 70. Gayle has forged a formidable today's soccer previews and predictions reputation in T20 cricket, he usually ends up accumulating plenty of runs.Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country.

Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. OddsShark does not target an audience under the age of 18. Which Character Will Die First In Stranger Things. Looking For Expert Picks On NFL Tonight.

NFL Computer PicksHumans are biased and their opinions color their decisions. NewsletterFacebookContactEditorialAbout UsTermsOdds FeedRSSThe handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. The Titans and the Dolphins get ready to play their last league game of the Ram Slam 2017 knowing that both of them are likely to have already qualified for the knockouts.

In fact, the Titans have definitely made it to the knockouts while the The last of the group matches is about to be played in the Ram Slam 2017 with two teams assured of their place in the knockouts. The Riders successfully chased down 168 runs and After a somewhat controversial end to the test series with pollution masks making an appearance, players falling sick, and a dead pitch that lead to a draw, a change of pace to the limited-overs series will be a welcome change.

The visitors performed poorly with the bat The Ram Slam 2017 continues to roll on as teams try and vie for spots in the knockouts. It looks like it will be a tight fight between the five teams other than the Titans who have just dominated this tournament completely.

Here we will post our tips and analysis on the upcoming cricket matches that are being played around the globe and give you our betting tips as for who we think will be the most profitable to bet on based on the odds.

We will try to put out our predictions as quickly as possible and try to cover as many games as we can. However there are limited amount of time available to all of us here at OnlineCricketBetting. Expect to see more and more games being covered in the future. Sign up to our newsletter and receive FREE cricket betting tips right in your inbox.

Visit GamCare, GambleAware or Gamblers Anonymous for more info. Below are the free tennis betting tips most tipped by matchstat. If many users are backing a player it can be a good indication to make your own bet. Click on the number of bets to learn more about the tipsters, including their profit and success rate. If you are looking for free tennis tips and predictions then matchstat. Our tips are based on our users' picks. By looking at the success of each user you can decide for yourself if their predictions are good.

Don't forget to check out our football betting tips. Our virtual betting game will start again in January 2018. Welcome to the new matchstat. Livescores provided by Livescore. Tennis On Now Men ATP Tour ATP Challengers ITF Futures Women WTA Tour ITF Challengers ITF Futures Pro Tennis Info 2017 Calendar Rankings Ranking Movers Injuries Bet Ratings Surface Leaders Pro Football Info English Premier League English Championship Bundesliga La Liga Serie A Ligue 1 All Leagues Welcome to the new matchstat.

News Corp is a network of leading companies in the worlds of diversified media, news, education, and information services. The Magpies are flagging badly after a promising start to the season, going six games without a win after their 3-1 defeat to Chelsea last weekend.

And why not a long shot card bet. You can also join us on the SunSport live blog for all the latest updates from the match. Sky Sports will show the game during Saturday evening and, of course, the BBC will have highlights on Match of the Day at 10. To inquire about a licence to reproduce material, visit our Syndication site. View our online Press Pack.OverviewExplore Research LabsFind Clinical TrialsResearch FacultyPostdoctoral FellowshipsDiscovery's Edge MagazineSearch PublicationsTraining Grant PositionsResearch and Clinical TrialsSee how Mayo Clinic research and clinical trials advance the science of medicine and improve patient care.

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Sign up now Anger management: 10 tips to tame your temperKeeping your temper in check can be challenging. By Mayo Clinic StaffProducts and ServicesNewsletter: Mayo Clinic Health LetterSee alsoTips for being happyA Very Happy BrainAnger management: Your questions answeredBe kind to yourself: How self-compassion can improve your resiliencyDenialEmpty nest syndromeFocus on progress, not perfectionFriendshipsReduce stress with a kind gestureHow to be happyMental healthPassive-aggressive behaviorBoosting self-esteemSelf-esteem checkStop multitasking and focusShow moreShow less Advertisement Mayo Clinic does not endorse companies or products.

Terms and ConditionsPrivacy PolicyNotice of Privacy PracticesNotice of NondiscriminationReprint PermissionsA single copy of these materials may be reprinted for noncommercial personal use only. HON This site complies with the HONcode standard for trustworthy health information: verify here. Our local ambassador Dominik recommends 10 fun things to do and see for free here.

Alternative Berlin organises tours that take you off the beaten track and show you the city through the eyes of a local. The free walking tour starts at 11:00 and 13:00 daily, and lasts 3 hours. The meeting point is Alexanderplatz, next to the TV Tower. Tipping is optional, but if you enjoy the tour you can show your appreciation by giving a few coins to your guide.

Read morePhoto credit: Alternative BerlinThe highest point (66 metres above sea level) of an otherwise flat Berlin offers a nice panoramic view of the city. Locals come here mostly for the organic produce and Turkish cuisine. Read morePhoto credit: Findingberlin.

As a sustainable living social project, activists cleared out a wasteland and turned it into the Princess Garden.

Go for a walk here for a quick city getaway and find out what the concept is all about. Many of the exhibitions are free of charge. In addition to offering a nice panoramic view, the dome is something of an architectural miracle with 360 mirrors integrated into it, all of them reflecting light in different directions. Keep in mind that to visit the building you must preregister either online or at a small building close to the southern entry.

Read morePhoto credit:Wytse KloostermanThe area surrounding this 10-kilometre-long canal is incredibly scenic and perfect for a quiet walk.

It is, however, a very popular spot among locals on sunny days. Read morePhoto credit: VThe Topography of Terror is a free museum that documents the police and state terrors that took place during the Nazi regime in Germany. There are both outdoor and indoor displays, as well as permanent and rotating exhibitions. There are also original parts of the Berlin Wall still standing in the area. Read morePhoto credit: MrT HKFrom 1969 to 2001 the grounds of Spreepark operated as an amusement park, but due to rising prices and a lack of parking spaces, visitor numbers dropped drastically and the owners became insolvent.

Read morePhoto credit: Internauten BasisYour email address will not be published.We want to know if people from different areas or who drive different types of vehicles give different answers to the question. We see some differences, but want to know if those differences are likely due to chance, because of the particular people we happened to interview, or whether the differences seen here likely reflect real differences in the entire population of people represented by our sample.

To answer this question we used a statistic called chi (pronounced kie like pie) square shown at the bottom of the table in two rows of numbers. The top row numbers of 0.

The meaning of these statistics may be ignored for the purposes of this article. The second row contains values. These are the significance levels and are explained following the table. Significance levels show you how likely a pattern in your data is due to chance. The most common level, used to mean something is good enough to be believed, is. However, this value is also used in a misleading way. Instead it will show you ".

To find the significance level, subtract the number shown from one. For example, a value of ". In this table, there is probably no difference in purchases of gasoline X by people in the city center and the suburbs, because the probability is. In contrast the high significance level for type of vehicle (.

The Survey System uses significance levels with several statistics. In all cases, the p value tells you how likely something is to be not true. If a chi square test shows probability of.

If a t-test reports a probability of. If a test shows a. If you do a large number of tests, falsely significant results are a problem.

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If you took a totally random, meaningless set of data and did 100 significance tests, the odds are that five tests would be falsely reported significant. As you can see, the more tests you do, the more of a problem these false positives are. You cannot tell which the false results are - you just know they are there.

Limiting the number of tests to a small group chosen before the data is collected is one way to reduce the problem.

If this isn't practical, there are other ways of solving this problem. The best approach from a statistical point of view is to repeat the study and see if you get the same results. If something is statistically significant in two separate studies, it is probably true. In real life it is not usually practical to repeat a survey, but you can use the "split halves" technique of dividing your sample randomly into two halves and do the tests on each.

If something is significant in both halves, it is probably true. The main problem with this technique is that when you halve the sample size, a difference has to be larger to be statistically significant.Money may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website.

Offers may be subject to change without notice. Quotes delayed at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Interactive Data. ETF and Mutual Fund data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Powered and implemented by Interactive Data Managed Solutions. Unanticipated side effects may include, but not be limited to, a case of the brown britches, vomiting, headaches, stomach and butt pain, and even death.

When your lawyer finally convinces the judge to release you to your family on home confinement, try to avoid immediately walking out of the hearing and attempting to beat your confinement bracelet off in the middle of the courthouse lawn, or at least give the judge time to have lunch first.

Posters of encouragement are welcomed at your child's sporting event or at a political rally, not in the courtroom at your boyfriend's felony hearing. After convincing the judge to release you from jail while you've clutched your Bible and passionately persuaded him that you found Jesus in Pod A, please refrain from walking out of the courtroom and slapping said Bible in the bailiff's hand on your way out, stating "Here, I don't need this anymore.

From the WVU Reed College of Media. When choosing a fake penis to fake a drug screen, (aka the whizzinator) select one that actually resembles your penis and not one that appears to be a dildo poking out of your trousers.

Faking an overdose in the courtroom will not void your trip to jail, only delay it with an unpleasant detour through the emergency room. There are many, many things you can sell on Craig's List. Your baby is not one of those things. When on the lam from the police, do not stop in a public place and volunteer for on the lam selfies with strangers, which can be tagged.

Couple arrested after trying to sell infant on CraigslistL. Our Starcraft 2 guide 2017 contains beginner tips and tricks, free to play details, strategy advice and build orders for the Terran, Protoss and Zerg races. StarCraft 2 is about to be re-released as a free to play title, allowing everyone to get a complete piece of the multiplayer action, as well as play through the Wings of Liberty Campaign.

Although Blizzard's RTS isn't quite the competitive powerhouse it once was in the wider esports picture, it still has a thriving community of players - and that should only get bigger with the relaunch in front of us.

Whether you're a lapsed player who's forgotten everything they ever learned about the game, or you're completely new to the franchise, we've got a guide that will get you up to speed on all of the basics of playing StarCraft 2. If it proves popular, we'll expand on it over time with more advanced guides, although for now we think this'll get everything up to speed nice and quickly.

Use the following links to quickly navigate to the section of the guide you're most interested in right now. Before we dive into the detail, here's what's what about both the game and the free to play re-launch.Once you delete an ensemble, it is permanently deleted.

If you try to delete an ensemble a second time, or an ensemble that does not exist, you will receive a "404 not found" response. However, if you try to delete an ensemble that is being used at the moment, then BigML. To list all the ensembles, you can use the ensemble base URL.

By default, only the 20 most recent ensembles will be returned. You can get your list of ensembles directly in your browser using your own username and API key with the following links. You can also paginate, filter, and order your ensembles. Logistic Regressions Last Updated: Monday, 2017-10-30 10:31 A logistic regression is a supervised machine learning method for solving classification problems.

You can create a logistic regression selecting which fields from your dataset you want to use as input fields (or predictors) and which categorical field you want to predict, the objective field. Logistic regression seeks to learn the coefficient values b0, b1, b2. Xk must be numeric values. To adapt this model to all the datatypes that BigML supports, we apply the following transformations to the inputs:BigML.

You can also list all of your logistic regressions. Value is a map between field identifiers and a coding scheme for that field. See the Coding Categorical Fields for more details. If not specified, one numeric variable is created per categorical value, plus one for missing values.

This can be used to change the names of the fields in the logistic regression with respect to the original names in the dataset or to tell BigML that certain fields should be preferred. All the fields in the dataset Specifies the fields to be included as predictors in the logistic regression. If false, these predictors are not created, and rows containing missing numeric values are dropped. Example: false name optional String,default is dataset's name The name you want to give to the new logistic regression.

Example: "my new logistic regression" normalize optional Boolean,default is false Whether to normalize feature vectors in training and predicting. The type of the field must be categorical.

The type of the fields must be categorical.

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The range of successive instances to build the logistic regression.


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